Farmers’ Almanac winter forecast

Farmers’ Almanac Predicts a Wild “Chill, Snow, Repeat” Winter Across the U.S.

The UBJ Desk

The UBJ Desk

— 2 min read
Share
Farmers’ Almanac Predicts a Wild “Chill, Snow, Repeat” Winter Across the U.S.

Winter lovers and planners alike, take note: the 209th edition of the Farmers’ Almanac is warning that 2025–2026 may deliver a roller-coaster season of cold and snow—riding under the bold motto “Chill, Snow, Repeat.” This year’s forecast suggests dramatic swings in temperature and frequent snow events nationwide, setting the stage for a memorable—and potentially challenging—season.

In the heart of this icy narrative, regions like the Northern Plains, Great Lakes, and New England are bracing for the coldest and snowiest stretches. Expect bitter snaps mid-January and again in mid-February. Out west, Idaho and Washington are likely to register a deep winter chill that could catch some off guard.

Meanwhile, the Pacific Northwest’s mountain ranges are poised to receive hefty snow totals. The Mid-Atlantic, especially mountainous areas, may face intermittent periods of heavy snow, making it wise to keep a snow shovel handy.

Contrasting much of the northern sweep of frozen weather, the Southeast, South Central, and Southwest U.S. should prepare for wetter-than-normal conditions. The forecast flags Texas and the Southern Plains—including parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, and New Mexico—for multiple cold rain events and occasional freezing rain, though widespread snow will remain scarce.

Accuracy Questions: A Timeless Formula vs. Modern Science

Despite its centuries-old legacy, the Farmers’ Almanac’s forecasting method—based on sunspots, lunar cycles, and planetary positions—remains controversial. Scientific evaluations suggest it performs only slightly better than random chance, with roughly 50–52% accuracy in predicting temperature or precipitation months in advance, as found in academic assessments.

For example, last year’s prediction of a major early February snow in Texas missed the mark by about two weeks. Instead of snow, Houston experienced record warmth that week, underscoring the limits of the Almanac’s reach.

Why a Forecast This Far Ahead Still Holds Value

Long-range forecasts like these won't nail down weather week by week—but they serve a purpose. Whether you're a gardener safeguarding winter crops or someone planning to visit ski resorts, the Almanac’s portraits of likely patterns—cold waves, frequent precipitation, or dry spells—can help you plan ahead.

It’s also worth comparing with scientific forecasts: for instance, the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center expects La Niña to influence a warmer, drier winter in areas like Texas. That contrasts sharply with the Almanac’s prediction of a wet, icy season there.

What Residents Across the U.S. Should Keep in Mind

  • Northern States (Plains, Great Lakes, New England): Gear up for recurring snow periods and sharply colder stretches.
  • Mountainous West (PNW): Expect heavier-than-normal snow—ideal conditions for winter sports.
  • Mid-Atlantic Highlands: Periodic heavy snow remains a strong possibility.
  • Southeast & Southern Plains: Mostly wetter winter with cold rain or freezing drizzle, though Texas may be spared full-on snow in most areas.
  • General Outlook: Be prepared for shifts in weather—layering, snow gear, and caveats in travel plans are smart moves.

Read more