Yellen Points to India and China as Obstacles to ‘Pillar 1’ Tax Agreement

U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen holds a press conference ahead of the G7 Finance Minister and Central Bank Governors' Meeting in Stresa, Italy, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Massimo Pinca

The pursuit of a global corporate tax agreement is encountering significant roadblocks as U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen endeavors to salvage a crucial component targeting highly profitable multinational corporations. Despite concerted efforts, challenges abound, particularly with India steadfastly refusing to engage on issues deemed crucial to U.S. interests.

Yellen’s remarks, delivered during a gathering of G7 finance leaders in Italy, underscore the urgency of finalizing “Pillar 1” of the OECD corporate tax deal, initially outlined in principle in 2021 with participation from 140 nations. However, the notable absence of China from these deliberations presents a substantial impediment to achieving consensus, casting a shadow over the prospects of a comprehensive agreement.

At the heart of the Pillar 1 negotiations lies the contentious issue of reallocating taxing rights on U.S.-based digital giants, with the aim of enabling approximately $200 billion of corporate profits to be taxed in jurisdictions where these firms conduct substantial business activities. Yet, the reluctance of key stakeholders, including the U.S., India, and China, to fully engage in these discussions threatens to derail progress and jeopardize the attainment of a mutually beneficial accord.

Yellen has identified two critical “red line” issues for the U.S. in the negotiations, particularly surrounding transfer pricing mechanisms and the implementation of the “Amount B” system aimed at simplifying transfer pricing calculations. While the U.S. position enjoys broad support from many participating countries, India’s reluctance to participate in substantive dialogue presents a formidable obstacle to achieving consensus on these crucial matters.

The potential collapse of the Pillar 1 negotiations carries significant ramifications, including the resurgence of digital services taxes in jurisdictions that had suspended such levies in anticipation of a global agreement. Notably, prior to the initial agreement in 2021, U.S. trade authorities had threatened punitive tariffs on imports from several countries, prompting temporary suspensions of these taxes during negotiations.

Italy, one of the nations potentially affected by these tariffs, is actively seeking to negotiate an agreement with the U.S. to halt punitive measures while safeguarding its digital services levy. As discussions unfold, the fate of the global corporate tax deal remains uncertain, with stakeholders grappling to reconcile divergent interests and chart a course towards meaningful international tax reform.

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