Though Trump’s remarks are hurting TSMC’s shares, the company is expected to announce a solid profit.

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The world’s largest contract chipmaker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), is expected to release good quarterly results due to the increasing demand for artificial intelligence applications. Since TSMC continues to supply significant technology businesses like Apple and Nvidia, it is clear that the company dominates the chip-making market. But Donald Trump’s recent political remarks have caused TSMC’s stock to drop significantly. TSMC’s shares fell 4% on the Taipei stock exchange after Trump made comments implying that Taiwan should foot the bill for the United States’ military because of its monopoly on the chip industry. Furthermore, there was an 8% decrease in TSMC’s American Depository Receipts. Additionally impacted, the Taiwan market as a whole had an early Thursday decline of 2%.

Though Trump's remarks are hurting TSMC's shares, the company is expected to announce a solid profit. 5

Despite the immediate market reaction to Trump’s comments, industry analysts believe that these political statements will not have a lasting impact on the market fundamentals. James Huang, chairman of Franklin Templeton SinoAm Securities Investment Management in Taipei, expressed confidence that the major players in the tech industry remain optimistic about AI and continue to invest heavily in its development. According to Huang, Trump’s remarks are unlikely to change this positive outlook.

The financial performance of TSMC underscores the robust demand for its chips, particularly those used in AI applications. For the quarter ending June 30, TSMC is expected to report a net profit of T$238.8 billion (approximately $7.33 billion). This represents a significant increase from the net profit of T$181.8 billion reported in the same quarter of the previous year. The company’s revenue, denominated in Taiwan dollars, has already surpassed market expectations, reflecting strong demand and operational efficiency.

The performance of other companies in the semiconductor supply chain also highlights the sector’s challenges and opportunities. For instance, shares in ASML, the largest supplier of computer chip-making equipment, fell sharply amid investor concerns that the U.S. government might impose stricter export restrictions on its products to China. Despite these worries, ASML reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded forecasts, indicating strong underlying demand for its products.

Though Trump's remarks are hurting TSMC's shares, the company is expected to announce a solid profit. 6

As TSMC prepares to announce its quarterly earnings, it will also provide an updated outlook for the current quarter and the full year. This includes guidance on its capital expenditures as the company aggressively expands its production capabilities. TSMC is investing billions of dollars in building new factories overseas, including a significant $65 billion investment in three plants in Arizona, USA. Nevertheless, the company has reiterated that the majority of its manufacturing will remain in Taiwan, leveraging the island’s established infrastructure and expertise.

During its last earnings call in April, TSMC maintained its capital spending guidance for the year at between $28 billion and $32 billion. This is consistent with the previous year’s expenditure of $30.45 billion. A substantial portion of this investment, estimated at 70% to 80%, is earmarked for advanced technologies, ensuring that TSMC remains at the forefront of innovation in semiconductor manufacturing.

The second half of the year is traditionally a peak season for Taiwanese technology companies, as they ramp up production to meet the surge in demand leading up to the year-end holiday season in major Western markets. This seasonal increase in production is expected to further bolster TSMC’s financial performance. The company’s stock has already benefited significantly from the AI boom, with its Taipei-listed shares surging by 68% so far this year. This performance far outpaces the broader market’s gain of 30%, underscoring TSMC’s critical role in the global technology supply chain.

TSMC’s strategic importance to Taiwan’s economy cannot be overstated. Often referred to colloquially as the “sacred mountain protecting the country,” TSMC is a cornerstone of Taiwan’s export-dependent economy. The company’s technological prowess and market leadership position provide a significant economic buffer for Taiwan, even as geopolitical tensions with China remain a constant concern.

While TSMC enjoys a dominant position in the market, it faces competition from other industry giants like Intel and Samsung. Both companies are making concerted efforts to challenge TSMC’s supremacy in advanced chip manufacturing. Intel, in particular, has announced ambitious plans to expand its manufacturing capabilities and reclaim its position as a leader in semiconductor technology. Similarly, Samsung is investing heavily in its semiconductor division to capture a larger share of the market.

Despite these competitive pressures, TSMC’s leadership in the industry appears secure for the foreseeable future. The company’s continued investments in cutting-edge technologies and capacity expansion are designed to meet the growing global demand for advanced semiconductors. As AI and other emerging technologies drive the next wave of innovation, TSMC’s chips will play a crucial role in enabling these advancements.

Though Trump's remarks are hurting TSMC's shares, the company is expected to announce a solid profit. 7

The underlying need for improved semiconductors, driven by artificial intelligence and other technical advancements, is still robust, despite the fact that political declarations and geopolitical tensions might cause brief market volatility. Because of its strong financial results and wise investments, TSMC is well-positioned to benefit from these trends. The business will continue to be a major force in the global technological scene as long as it can sustain its leadership position in the sector and grow its manufacturing capacity. Notwithstanding recent political remarks, the market’s faith in TSMC’s long-term prospects and the crucial position it plays in the semiconductor supply chain is demonstrated by the company’s stock’s resiliency.

Though Trump's remarks are hurting TSMC's shares, the company is expected to announce a solid profit. 8

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